USL Championship · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Indy Eleven
Home
1-1
Full time
Michael A. Carroll Stadium
Hartford Athletic
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
36%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
19%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.7
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Indy Eleven wins
0
Draws
0
Hartford Athletic wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
20%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Indy Eleven
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Hartford Athletic
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Indy Eleven | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 4/6 67% |
At half time
Indy Eleven
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Hartford Athletic
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Hartford Athletic |
29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | +1 | 40 |
| 9 |
Indy Eleven |
29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | -5 | 34 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Indy Eleven face Hartford Athletic in USL Championship. Indy Eleven have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Hartford Athletic have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 19% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
With a 44% probability backing Indy Eleven, home advantage and superior chance creation make Indy Eleven to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Indy Eleven, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Hartford Athletic. Our top recommended betting pick is Indy Eleven Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.7 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 21:00 (East Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium as part of the USL Championship.
