Serie A · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Santos
Home
0-2
Full time
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Atletico Paranaense
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
65%
1.45
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santos wins
0
Draws
0
Atletico Paranaense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Santos
last 6 at home
4W
2D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Atletico Paranaense
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Santos | Atletico Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Santos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Atletico Paranaense
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 |
| 9 |
Santos |
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Santos face Atletico Paranaense in Serie A. Santos have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Atletico Paranaense have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Santos, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Atletico Paranaense. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira as part of the Serie A.
