Serie A · Sunday, 09 Aug 2026
Flamengo
Home
2-0
Full time
Estádio do Maracanã
Vitoria
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
10%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Flamengo wins
0
Draws
0
Vitoria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
26%
80%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Flamengo
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Vitoria
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Flamengo | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 0/6 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 4/6 67% |
At half time
Flamengo
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Vitoria
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo |
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 15 |
Vitoria |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Flamengo face Vitoria in Serie A. Flamengo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game). Vitoria have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Flamengo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Flamengo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Flamengo, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Vitoria. Our top recommended betting pick is Flamengo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 09 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã as part of the Serie A.
