Ykkönen · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
TPV
Home
1-1
Full time
Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
SalPa
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
TPV wins
0
Draws
0
SalPa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
93%
Attack
33%
13%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
TPV
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
SalPa
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| TPV | SalPa | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
TPV
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
14%
Behind
29%
SalPa
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
TPV face SalPa in Ykkönen. TPV have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 13 (1.8 points per game). SalPa have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for TPV, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for SalPa. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 15:30 (East Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass as part of the Ykkönen.
