UEFA Europa League · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Saburtalo
Home
2-1
Full time
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Larne
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.14 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
60%
Draw
24%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Saburtalo wins
1
Draws
0
Larne wins
04 Aug 2026
Larne
0 - 0
Saburtalo
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
20%
60%
Defence
33%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
60%
Win probability
17%
Home and away record
Saburtalo
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Larne
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Saburtalo | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Saburtalo
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Larne
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Saburtalo face Larne in UEFA Europa League. Saburtalo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Larne have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Saburtalo won 0, Larne won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 60% probability backing Saburtalo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Saburtalo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 60% win probability for Saburtalo, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Larne. Our top recommended betting pick is Saburtalo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium as part of the UEFA Europa League.
