UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Sturm Graz
Home
0-1
Full time
Merkur Arena
Fenerbahçe
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
22%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
1
Fenerbahçe wins
05 Aug 2026
Fenerbahçe
2 - 0
Sturm Graz
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
86%
53%
Attack
66%
80%
Defence
86%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
10%
Win probability
68%
Home and away record
Sturm Graz
last 7 at home
5W
1D
1L
2.29
points a game
3.14
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Fenerbahçe
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sturm Graz | Fenerbahçe | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/6 67% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Sturm Graz
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
Fenerbahçe
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
83%
Level
17%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sturm Graz face Fenerbahçe in UEFA Champions League. Sturm Graz have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Fenerbahçe have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Sturm Graz won 0, Fenerbahçe won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
Fenerbahçe's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Fenerbahçe to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Sturm Graz, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Fenerbahçe. Our top recommended betting pick is Fenerbahçe Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Merkur Arena as part of the UEFA Champions League.
