UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Sturm Graz
Home
0-1
Full time
Merkur Arena
Fenerbahçe
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
22%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sturm Graz wins
0
Draws
1
Fenerbahçe wins
05 Aug 2026
Fenerbahçe
2 - 0
Sturm Graz
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
53%
Attack
93%
80%
Defence
93%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
10%
Win probability
68%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sturm Graz face Fenerbahçe in UEFA Champions League. Sturm Graz have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Fenerbahçe have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 1 (3 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Sturm Graz won 0, Fenerbahçe won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
Fenerbahçe's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Fenerbahçe to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Sturm Graz, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Fenerbahçe. Our top recommended betting pick is Fenerbahçe Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Merkur Arena as part of the UEFA Champions League.
