Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Alfreton Town
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Gainsborough Trinity
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.35 - 1.47
Win probability
Home
27%
Draw
29%
Away
44%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Draw/Away
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alfreton Town wins
0
Draws
0
Gainsborough Trinity wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
33%
6%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
27%
Win probability
44%
Home and away record
Alfreton Town
last 6 at home
0W
1D
5L
0.17
points a game
0.17
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Gainsborough Trinity
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Alfreton Town | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 14% 1/7 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 86% 6/7 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Alfreton Town
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
29%
Behind
57%
Gainsborough Trinity
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Gainsborough Trinity |
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | 29 |
| 11 |
Alfreton Town |
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alfreton Town face Gainsborough Trinity in Non League Premier - Northern. Alfreton Town have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 10 (0 points per game). Gainsborough Trinity have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 37% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Gainsborough Trinity's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 44% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Gainsborough Trinity to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 27% win probability for Alfreton Town, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 44% probability for Gainsborough Trinity. Our top recommended betting pick is Gainsborough Trinity Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
