Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Bury
Home
3-2
Full time
Gigg Lane
Curzon Ashton
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
9%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bury wins
0
Draws
0
Curzon Ashton wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
50%
41%
Attack
16%
75%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Bury
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Curzon Ashton
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Bury | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 2/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 50% 2/4 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/2 50% |
| 50% 2/4 | Failed to score | 1/2 50% |
At half time
Bury
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Curzon Ashton
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Curzon Ashton |
18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | +14 | 37 |
| 8 |
Bury |
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +14 | 29 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bury face Curzon Ashton in Non League Premier - Northern. Bury have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (1.75 points per game). Curzon Ashton have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Bury, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bury to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Bury, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Curzon Ashton. Our top recommended betting pick is Bury Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Gigg Lane as part of the Non League Premier - Northern.
