Non League Premier - Southern Central · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Alvechurch
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Worcester City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.32
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.4 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
71%
Draw
19%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
71%
1.32
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
14%
Over 2.5
22%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alvechurch wins
0
Draws
0
Worcester City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
41%
40%
Attack
16%
66%
Defence
83%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
71%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Alvechurch
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Worcester City
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Alvechurch | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/4 50% |
At half time
Alvechurch
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Worcester City
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Alvechurch |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +15 | 29 |
| 15 |
Worcester City |
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Alvechurch face Worcester City in Non League Premier - Southern Central. Alvechurch have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Worcester City have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 14% and Both Teams to Score at 22%.
With a 71% probability backing Alvechurch, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alvechurch to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 71% win probability for Alvechurch, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Worcester City. Our top recommended betting pick is Alvechurch Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 22%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
