UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Lyon
Home
3-0
Full time
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Sparta Praha
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.2
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
32%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
68%
1.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lyon wins
0
Draws
1
Sparta Praha wins
04 Aug 2026
Sparta Praha
2 - 1
Lyon
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
20%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
46%
Win probability
32%
Home and away record
Lyon
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Sparta Praha
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Lyon | Sparta Praha | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Lyon
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
Sparta Praha
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
13%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lyon face Sparta Praha in UEFA Champions League. Lyon have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game). Sparta Praha have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Lyon won 0, Sparta Praha won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 46% probability backing Lyon, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lyon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Lyon, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 32% probability for Sparta Praha. Our top recommended betting pick is Lyon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais as part of the UEFA Champions League.
