CONMEBOL Libertadores · Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026
Deportes Tolima
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Independiente del Valle
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.42
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.95
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
15%
Away
66%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
66%
1.42
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportes Tolima wins
0
Draws
0
Independiente del Valle wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
95%
60%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
66%
Home and away record
Deportes Tolima
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Independiente del Valle
last 5 away from home
5W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.80
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Deportes Tolima | Independiente del Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 100% 6/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 100% 6/6 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Deportes Tolima
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Independiente del Valle
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
80%
Level
20%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportes Tolima face Independiente del Valle in CONMEBOL Libertadores. Deportes Tolima have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Independiente del Valle have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 81%.
Independiente del Valle's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 66% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Independiente del Valle to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Deportes Tolima, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 66% probability for Independiente del Valle. Our top recommended betting pick is Independiente del Valle Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 81% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 19 Aug 2026 at 00:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro as part of the CONMEBOL Libertadores.
