CONCACAF Central American Cup · Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026
Real Estelí
Home
3-1
Full time
Estadio Independencia
Alianza
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.25
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.5 - 0.65
Win probability
Home
75%
Draw
18%
Away
7%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
75%
1.25
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.15
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Real Estelí v Alianza pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Real Estelí wins
0
Draws
0
Alianza wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
33%
86%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
75%
Win probability
7%
Home and away record
Real Estelí
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.25
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Alianza
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Real Estelí | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 29% 2/7 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 71% 5/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Real Estelí
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Alianza
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Real Estelí face Alianza in CONCACAF Central American Cup. Real Estelí have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Alianza have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 75% probability backing Real Estelí, home advantage and superior chance creation make Real Estelí to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 75% win probability for Real Estelí, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 7% probability for Alianza. Our top recommended betting pick is Real Estelí Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.15 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Independencia as part of the CONCACAF Central American Cup.
