Cup · Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026
Kaluga
Home
5-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Iskra Smolensk
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
37%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
15%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.69
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kaluga wins
0
Draws
0
Iskra Smolensk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
16%
Recent form
6%
8%
Attack
26%
75%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Kaluga
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Iskra Smolensk
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Kaluga | Iskra Smolensk | |
|---|---|---|
| 25% 1/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 25% 1/4 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 75% 3/4 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Kaluga
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
25%
Behind
75%
Iskra Smolensk
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Kaluga face Iskra Smolensk in Cup. Kaluga have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0.5 points per game). Iskra Smolensk have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 15% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With a 49% probability backing Kaluga, home advantage and superior chance creation make Kaluga to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Kaluga, a 37% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Iskra Smolensk. Our top recommended betting pick is Kaluga Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.69 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Cup.
