Cup · Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026
Murom
Home
0-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Metallurg Lipetsk
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.19 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
62%
Draw
25%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
62%
1.52
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Murom wins
0
Draws
0
Metallurg Lipetsk wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
73%
53%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
62%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Murom
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Metallurg Lipetsk
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Murom | Metallurg Lipetsk | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Murom
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Metallurg Lipetsk
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Murom face Metallurg Lipetsk in Cup. Murom have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Metallurg Lipetsk have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 62% probability backing Murom, home advantage and superior chance creation make Murom to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 62% win probability for Murom, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Metallurg Lipetsk. Our top recommended betting pick is Murom Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Cup.
