Torneo Federal A · Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026
Germinal de Rawson
Home
5-1
Full time
Estadio El Fortin
Santamarina
Away
Recommended tip
Draw @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
46%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
X
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
92%
1.02
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
8%
Over 2.5
16%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Germinal de Rawson wins
0
Draws
0
Santamarina wins
28 Jun 2026
Germinal de Rawson
1 - 0
Santamarina
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
6%
20%
Attack
5%
33%
Defence
66%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
32%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Germinal de Rawson
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Santamarina
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Germinal de Rawson | Santamarina | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 0/5 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 5/5 100% |
At half time
Germinal de Rawson
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
17%
Behind
50%
Santamarina
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Germinal de Rawson face Santamarina in Torneo Federal A. Germinal de Rawson have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game). Santamarina have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 0 and conceding 5 (0.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Germinal de Rawson won 1, Santamarina won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 8% and Both Teams to Score at 16%.
With evenly matched metrics (32% vs 22%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match Draw (X)). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Germinal de Rawson, a 46% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Santamarina. Our top recommended betting pick is Draw (X).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 16%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin as part of the Torneo Federal A.
