CONMEBOL Libertadores · Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026
Palmeiras
Home
1-1
Full time
Nubank Parque
Cerro Porteno
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Palmeiras wins
0
Draws
0
Cerro Porteno wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
25%
66%
Attack
41%
66%
Defence
58%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Palmeiras
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Cerro Porteno
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Palmeiras | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Palmeiras
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Cerro Porteno
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Palmeiras face Cerro Porteno in CONMEBOL Libertadores. Palmeiras have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Cerro Porteno have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (0.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Palmeiras, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Cerro Porteno. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 12 Aug 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Nubank Parque as part of the CONMEBOL Libertadores.
