Liga 3 · Thursday, 13 Aug 2026
Merani Tbilisi
Home
0-5
Full time
Venue TBC
Guria
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.01 - 2
Win probability
Home
13%
Draw
18%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Merani Tbilisi wins
0
Draws
1
Guria wins
26 Jun 2026
Guria
6 - 1
Merani Tbilisi
Why this prediction
22%
Recent form
60%
44%
Attack
66%
5%
Defence
66%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
13%
Win probability
68%
Home and away record
Merani Tbilisi
last 2 at home
0W
2D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Guria
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Merani Tbilisi | Guria | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 100% 3/3 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Merani Tbilisi
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Guria
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guria |
25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +56 | 56 |
| 5 |
Merani Tbilisi |
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Merani Tbilisi face Guria in Liga 3. Merani Tbilisi have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 9 (0.67 points per game). Guria have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Merani Tbilisi won 0, Guria won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Guria's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Guria to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 13% win probability for Merani Tbilisi, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Guria. Our top recommended betting pick is Guria Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 13 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga 3.
