Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Leagues Cup · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Cruz Azul
Home
1-2
Full time
SeatGeek Stadium
Chicago Fire
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.34
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.38 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
70%
Draw
14%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
70%
1.34
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cruz Azul wins
0
Draws
0
Chicago Fire wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
60%
66%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
70%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Cruz Azul
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Chicago Fire
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Cruz Azul | Chicago Fire | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 4/5 80% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Cruz Azul
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Chicago Fire
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Cruz Azul face Chicago Fire in Leagues Cup. Cruz Azul have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Chicago Fire have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 77%.
With a 70% probability backing Cruz Azul, home advantage and superior chance creation make Cruz Azul to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 70% win probability for Cruz Azul, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Chicago Fire. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruz Azul Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 77% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at SeatGeek Stadium as part of the Leagues Cup.
