Liga de Expansión MX · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Home
1-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Tepatitlán
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
7%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
98%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca wins
0
Draws
0
Tepatitlán wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
5%
33%
Attack
16%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca face Tepatitlán in Liga de Expansión MX. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 2 (1.5 points per game). Tepatitlán have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 8 (0 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With a 91% probability backing Alebrijes de Oaxaca, home advantage and superior chance creation make Alebrijes de Oaxaca to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Tepatitlán. Our top recommended betting pick is Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
