Queensland NPL · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Moreton City Excelsior
Home
0-2
Full time
Wolter Park
Lions
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
19%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Moreton City Excelsior wins
0
Draws
0
Lions wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
60%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Moreton City Excelsior
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Lions
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Moreton City Excelsior | Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Moreton City Excelsior
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Lions
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Moreton City Excelsior face Lions in Queensland NPL. Moreton City Excelsior have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Lions have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 59% probability backing Moreton City Excelsior, home advantage and superior chance creation make Moreton City Excelsior to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Moreton City Excelsior, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Lions. Our top recommended betting pick is Moreton City Excelsior Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at Wolter Park as part of the Queensland NPL.
