Cup · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
BFC Daugavpils
Home
3-1
Full time
Stadions Celtnieks
Ogre United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
10%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
BFC Daugavpils wins
0
Draws
0
Ogre United wins
19 Jul 2026
Ogre United
0 - 4
BFC Daugavpils
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
13%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
78%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
BFC Daugavpils
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Ogre United
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.50
scored a game
3.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| BFC Daugavpils | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/8 0% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
BFC Daugavpils
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Ogre United
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
Match Preview & Analysis
BFC Daugavpils face Ogre United in Cup. BFC Daugavpils have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Ogre United have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, BFC Daugavpils won 1, Ogre United won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 77%.
With a 78% probability backing BFC Daugavpils, home advantage and superior chance creation make BFC Daugavpils to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for BFC Daugavpils, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Ogre United. Our top recommended betting pick is BFC Daugavpils Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 77% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks as part of the Cup.
