Cup · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
BFC Daugavpils
Home
3-1
Full time
Stadions Celtnieks
Ogre United
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
10%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
BFC Daugavpils wins
0
Draws
0
Ogre United wins
19 Jul 2026
Ogre United
0 - 4
BFC Daugavpils
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
40%
93%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
5%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
78%
Win probability
9%
Match Preview & Analysis
BFC Daugavpils face Ogre United in Cup. BFC Daugavpils have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Ogre United have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 17 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, BFC Daugavpils won 1, Ogre United won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 77%.
With a 78% probability backing BFC Daugavpils, home advantage and superior chance creation make BFC Daugavpils to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for BFC Daugavpils, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Ogre United. Our top recommended betting pick is BFC Daugavpils Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 77% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks as part of the Cup.
