Eerste Divisie · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Roda
Home
2-1
Full time
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Helmond Sport
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Roda v Helmond Sport pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Roda wins
0
Draws
0
Helmond Sport wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Roda
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Helmond Sport
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Roda | Helmond Sport | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Roda
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Helmond Sport
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Roda face Helmond Sport in Eerste Divisie. Roda have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Helmond Sport have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Roda, home advantage and superior chance creation make Roda to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Roda, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Helmond Sport. Our top recommended betting pick is Roda Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
