Segunda División · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Real Sociedad II
Home
0-1
Full time
Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta
Castellón
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.51
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
35%
Away
46%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
20%
Over 2.5
26%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.67
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Real Sociedad II wins
0
Draws
0
Castellón wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
40%
53%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
46%
Home and away record
Real Sociedad II
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Castellón
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Real Sociedad II | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Real Sociedad II
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
0%
Behind
80%
Castellón
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Castellón |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +18 | 27 |
| 17 |
Real Sociedad II |
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Real Sociedad II face Castellón in Segunda División. Real Sociedad II have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Castellón have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 10 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 20% and Both Teams to Score at 26%.
Castellón's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 46% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Castellón to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Real Sociedad II, a 35% chance of a draw, and a 46% probability for Castellón. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.67 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 26%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta as part of the Segunda División.
