Coppa Italia · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Monza
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Avellino
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
10%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
91%
1.03
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
91%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Monza wins
0
Draws
0
Avellino wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
58%
Recent form
58%
83%
Attack
95%
25%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Monza
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.67
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Avellino
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
4.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Monza | Avellino | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Monza
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Avellino
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
0%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Monza face Avellino in Coppa Italia. Monza have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.75 points per game). Avellino have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (1.75 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 91% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With a 76% probability backing Monza, home advantage and superior chance creation make Monza to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Monza, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Avellino. Our top recommended betting pick is Monza Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Coppa Italia.
