FAW Championship · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Trethomas Bluebirds
Home
2-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Caerau (Ely)
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.73
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
19%
Away
56%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Trethomas Bluebirds wins
0
Draws
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
22%
Recent form
13%
22%
Attack
60%
33%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
56%
Home and away record
Trethomas Bluebirds
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Caerau (Ely)
last 3 away from home
0W
0D
3L
0.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Trethomas Bluebirds | Caerau (Ely) | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 5/8 63% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Trethomas Bluebirds
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
Caerau (Ely)
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 7 |
Trethomas Bluebirds |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Trethomas Bluebirds face Caerau (Ely) in FAW Championship. Trethomas Bluebirds have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.67 points per game). Caerau (Ely) have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 13 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 71%.
Caerau (Ely)'s counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 56% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Caerau (Ely) to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Trethomas Bluebirds, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 56% probability for Caerau (Ely). Our top recommended betting pick is Caerau (Ely) Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 71% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
