Primeira Liga · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Sporting CP
Home
3-2
Full time
Estádio José Alvalade
Guimaraes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting CP wins
0
Draws
0
Guimaraes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
66%
95%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Sporting CP
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.25
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Guimaraes
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Sporting CP | Guimaraes | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Sporting CP
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
60%
Behind
0%
Guimaraes
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
40%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Sporting CP |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 14 |
Guimaraes |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting CP face Guimaraes in Primeira Liga. Sporting CP have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 4 (2.6 points per game). Guimaraes have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Sporting CP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sporting CP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Sporting CP, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Guimaraes. Our top recommended betting pick is Sporting CP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade as part of the Primeira Liga.
