Primeira Liga · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Sporting CP
Home
3-2
Full time
Estádio José Alvalade
Guimaraes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.88 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
91%
Draw
5%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
82%
1.15
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
82%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.42
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting CP wins
0
Draws
0
Guimaraes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
80%
95%
Attack
80%
66%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
91%
Win probability
5%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spo Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Gui Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting CP face Guimaraes in Primeira Liga. Sporting CP have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 17 and conceding 4 (2.5 points per game). Guimaraes have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 2 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 82% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 91% probability backing Sporting CP, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sporting CP to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 91% win probability for Sporting CP, a 5% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Guimaraes. Our top recommended betting pick is Sporting CP Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.42 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 19:15 (East Africa Time) at Estádio José Alvalade as part of the Primeira Liga.
