Serie B · Friday, 14 Aug 2026
Ponte Preta
Home
1-1
Full time
Moisés Lucarelli
Nautico Recife
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.52
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.86
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
22%
Away
62%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
62%
1.52
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Ponte Preta v Nautico Recife pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ponte Preta wins
0
Draws
0
Nautico Recife wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
33%
33%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
62%
Home and away record
Ponte Preta
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Nautico Recife
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Ponte Preta | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 13% 1/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/7 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 4/7 57% |
At half time
Ponte Preta
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
Nautico Recife
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Nautico Recife |
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46 |
| 20 |
Ponte Preta |
37 | 3 | 6 | 28 | -58 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ponte Preta face Nautico Recife in Serie B. Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 10 (0.2 points per game). Nautico Recife have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Nautico Recife's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 62% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Nautico Recife to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Ponte Preta, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 62% probability for Nautico Recife. Our top recommended betting pick is Nautico Recife Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 14 Aug 2026 at 22:30 (East Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli as part of the Serie B.
