Copa Paraguay · Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026
Independiente F.b.c.
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
14%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Independiente F.b.c. wins
0
Draws
0
Sportivo Ameliano wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
50%
46%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Independiente F.b.c.
last 4 at home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Sportivo Ameliano
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Independiente F.b.c. | Sportivo Ameliano | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 100% 7/7 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Independiente F.b.c.
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Sportivo Ameliano
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Independiente F.b.c. face Sportivo Ameliano in Copa Paraguay. Independiente F.b.c. have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Sportivo Ameliano have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 14% and Both Teams to Score at 23%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Independiente F.b.c., a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sportivo Ameliano. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 23%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 11 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Ameliano as part of the Copa Paraguay.
