Persha Liga · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Chernihiv
Home
2-2
Full time
Chernihiv Stadium
Polissya II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
28%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chernihiv wins
0
Draws
0
Polissya II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
16%
40%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
50%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Chernihiv
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Polissya II
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Chernihiv | Polissya II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 100% 5/5 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
Chernihiv
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
75%
Behind
0%
Polissya II
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Chernihiv |
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |
Polissya II |
15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Chernihiv face Polissya II in Persha Liga. Chernihiv have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Polissya II have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 56% probability backing Chernihiv, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chernihiv to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Chernihiv, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Polissya II. Our top recommended betting pick is Chernihiv Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Chernihiv Stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
