Segunda Liga · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Torreense
Home
2-2
Full time
Estádio Manuel Marques
Penafiel
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.52
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
3%
Away
1%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.45
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Torreense wins
0
Draws
0
Penafiel wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
8%
46%
Attack
5%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Torreense
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
5.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Penafiel
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Torreense | Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 0/4 0% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 4/4 100% |
At half time
Torreense
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Penafiel
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
67%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Torreense face Penafiel in Segunda Liga. Torreense have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Penafiel have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 0 and conceding 8 (0.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
With a 93% probability backing Torreense, home advantage and superior chance creation make Torreense to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Torreense, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 1% probability for Penafiel. Our top recommended betting pick is Torreense Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.45 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at Estádio Manuel Marques as part of the Segunda Liga.
