Ettan - Norra · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Gefle IF
Home
2-0
Full time
Gavlevallen
Umeå FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
25%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gefle IF wins
0
Draws
0
Umeå FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
20%
44%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Gefle IF
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Umeå FC
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Gefle IF | Umeå FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 67% 2/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 1/3 | Both teams scored | 3/5 60% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 1/3 | Failed to score | 1/5 20% |
At half time
Gefle IF
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Umeå FC
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
80%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Gefle IF face Umeå FC in Ettan - Norra. Gefle IF have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Umeå FC have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Gefle IF, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gefle IF to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Gefle IF, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Umeå FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Gefle IF Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Gavlevallen as part of the Ettan - Norra.
