League Two · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Newport County
Home
3-0
Full time
Rodney Parade
Rochdale
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.38
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Newport County wins
0
Draws
0
Rochdale wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
20%
40%
Attack
60%
20%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Newport County
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Rochdale
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Newport County | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 22% 2/9 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Newport County
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Rochdale
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Newport County |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 20 |
Rochdale |
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Newport County face Rochdale in League Two. Newport County have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (1 points per game). Rochdale have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 87% probability backing Newport County, home advantage and superior chance creation make Newport County to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Newport County, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Rochdale. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport County Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.38 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 11:30 (East Africa Time) at Rodney Parade as part of the League Two.
