Regionalliga - SudWest · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
SGV Freiberg
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
FC 08 Homburg
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.31
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
16%
Away
37%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
95%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
91%
1.03
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
95%
Over 2.5
91%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
SGV Freiberg wins
0
Draws
0
FC 08 Homburg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
80%
80%
Attack
60%
5%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
37%
Home and away record
SGV Freiberg
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.50
scored a game
4.50
conceded a game
FC 08 Homburg
last 5 away from home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
1.20
scored a game
2.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| SGV Freiberg | FC 08 Homburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 100% 5/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
SGV Freiberg
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
0%
Behind
75%
FC 08 Homburg
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
SGV Freiberg |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | +22 | 31 |
| 7 |
FC 08 Homburg |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
Match Preview & Analysis
SGV Freiberg face FC 08 Homburg in Regionalliga - SudWest. SGV Freiberg have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 15 (1 points per game). FC 08 Homburg have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 95% and Both Teams to Score at 91%.
With a 46% probability backing SGV Freiberg, home advantage and superior chance creation make SGV Freiberg to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for SGV Freiberg, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 37% probability for FC 08 Homburg. Our top recommended betting pick is SGV Freiberg Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 91% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Regionalliga - SudWest.
