Kansallinen Liiga · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Ilves W
Home
1-2
Full time
Kaupin urheilupuisto
IF Gnistan
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
13%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
87%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.24
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ilves W wins
1
Draws
0
IF Gnistan wins
18 Jul 2026
Ilves W
2 - 2
IF Gnistan
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
53%
Attack
26%
33%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
72%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Ilves W
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
IF Gnistan
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Ilves W | IF Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Ilves W
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
IF Gnistan
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ilves W face IF Gnistan in Kansallinen Liiga. Ilves W have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). IF Gnistan have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Ilves W won 0, IF Gnistan won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 87% and Both Teams to Score at 77%.
With a 72% probability backing Ilves W, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ilves W to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Ilves W, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for IF Gnistan. Our top recommended betting pick is Ilves W Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.24 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 77% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Kaupin urheilupuisto as part of the Kansallinen Liiga.
