Friendlies Clubs · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Chelsea
Home
3-1
Full time
Stamford Bridge
Real Sociedad
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
20%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Chelsea wins
0
Draws
0
Real Sociedad wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
86%
Attack
60%
33%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Chelsea
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Real Sociedad
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Chelsea | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Chelsea
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
Real Sociedad
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Chelsea face Real Sociedad in Friendlies Clubs. Chelsea have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game). Real Sociedad have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With a 56% probability backing Chelsea, home advantage and superior chance creation make Chelsea to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Chelsea, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Real Sociedad. Our top recommended betting pick is Chelsea Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge as part of the Friendlies Clubs.
