1. Liga · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Mārupe
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Super Nova 2
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
22%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mārupe wins
0
Draws
0
Super Nova 2 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
33%
26%
Attack
33%
26%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Mārupe
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Super Nova 2
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Mārupe | Super Nova 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 57% 4/7 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
Mārupe
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
43%
Behind
57%
Super Nova 2
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mārupe face Super Nova 2 in 1. Liga. Mārupe have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Super Nova 2 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Mārupe, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mārupe to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Mārupe, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Super Nova 2. Our top recommended betting pick is Mārupe Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga.
