League Two · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Grimsby
Home
1-0
Full time
Blundell Park
Exeter City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.24
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.52 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
76%
Draw
17%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
76%
1.24
Double Chance
Home/Draw
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.15
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Grimsby wins
0
Draws
0
Exeter City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
26%
60%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
76%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Grimsby
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Exeter City
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Grimsby | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/5 0% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/5 20% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Grimsby
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
Exeter City
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Grimsby face Exeter City in League Two. Grimsby have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). Exeter City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 76% probability backing Grimsby, home advantage and superior chance creation make Grimsby to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 76% win probability for Grimsby, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Exeter City. Our top recommended betting pick is Grimsby Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.15 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Blundell Park as part of the League Two.
