League One · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Burton Albion
Home
1-1
Full time
Pirelli Stadium
Stevenage
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
37%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
87%
1.08
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
86%
1.09
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
13%
Over 2.5
14%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.61
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Burton Albion wins
0
Draws
0
Stevenage wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
20%
Attack
26%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
10%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
Burton Albion
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Stevenage
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Burton Albion | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 1/5 20% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Burton Albion
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Stevenage
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Burton Albion |
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |
Stevenage |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Burton Albion face Stevenage in League One. Burton Albion have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game). Stevenage have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 13% and Both Teams to Score at 14%.
Stevenage's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Stevenage to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for Burton Albion, a 37% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Stevenage. Our top recommended betting pick is Stevenage Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.61 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 14%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium as part of the League One.
