National League · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Barrow
Home
1-2
Full time
Holker Street
AFC Hornchurch
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
28%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Draw/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
35%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.8
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Barrow wins
0
Draws
0
AFC Hornchurch wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
80%
66%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Barrow
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
AFC Hornchurch
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Barrow | AFC Hornchurch | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/8 100% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 17% 1/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 17% 1/6 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Barrow
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
AFC Hornchurch
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
71%
Level
14%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Barrow |
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 25 |
| 15 |
AFC Hornchurch |
16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Barrow face AFC Hornchurch in National League. Barrow have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). AFC Hornchurch have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 6 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 35% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
AFC Hornchurch's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for AFC Hornchurch to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Barrow, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for AFC Hornchurch. Our top recommended betting pick is AFC Hornchurch Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.8 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Holker Street as part of the National League.
