AfriPredictions
National League - North · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Southport
Home
1-1
Full time
Haig Avenue
Buxton
Away
Our Prediction confidence
Recommended tip
2 @ 1.27
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.89 - 2.13
Win probability
Home
8%
Draw
19%
Away
74%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
74% 1.27
Double Chance
Draw/Away
93% 1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68% 1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
Recent form — last 5
Sou Southport
W W D L W
3-1-1
W-D-L
9:4
Goals
2
PPG
Bux Buxton
D L W W L
2-1-2
W-D-L
7:6
Goals
1.4
PPG
Head-to-head
3
Southport wins
1
Draws
1
Buxton wins
15 Mar 2026 Southport 1 - 0 Buxton
15 Oct 2025 Buxton 0 - 2 Southport
15 May 2025 Southport 3 - 0 Buxton
15 Dec 2024 Buxton 0 - 0 Southport
15 Jul 2024 Southport 1 - 0 Buxton
Why this prediction
66% Recent form 46%
95% Attack 84%
52% Defence 28%
60% Head-to-head 20%
8% Win probability 74%
League standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
8 Sou Southport 24 10 6 8 +22 36
10 Bux Buxton 24 9 8 7 +10 35
Match Preview & Analysis

As Southport prepare to square off against Buxton in National League - North action, statistical analysis points toward an intriguing tactical contest. Southport enters this match with 3 wins from their past 5 outings, averaging 2 points per game while finding the net 9 times. Meanwhile, Buxton has registered a 5-match record of 2-1-2, displaying resilient defensive organization with 6 goals conceded.

Examining the historical head-to-head record across the last 5 meetings, Southport has claimed 3 victories compared to 1 for Buxton, with 1 encounters ending in a stalemate. In terms of goal dynamics, the probability of Over 2.5 Goals stands at 50%, while Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is projected at 32%.

With evenly matched metrics (8% vs 74%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.

Frequently Asked Questions Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 8% win probability for Southport, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 74% probability for Buxton. Our top recommended betting pick is 2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Haig Avenue as part of the National League - North.
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