National League - North · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Spennymoor Town
Home
2-1
Full time
The Brewery Field
Merthyr Town
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.6
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
20%
Away
50%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
75%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spennymoor Town wins
0
Draws
0
Merthyr Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
41%
Attack
60%
41%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
50%
Home and away record
Spennymoor Town
last 3 at home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Merthyr Town
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Spennymoor Town | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 100% 4/4 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Spennymoor Town
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
25%
Behind
25%
Merthyr Town
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 |
Merthyr Town |
15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 24 |
Spennymoor Town |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Spennymoor Town face Merthyr Town in National League - North. Spennymoor Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game). Merthyr Town have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 75%.
Merthyr Town's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 50% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Merthyr Town to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Spennymoor Town, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 50% probability for Merthyr Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Merthyr Town Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 75% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at The Brewery Field as part of the National League - North.
