Eredivisie · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Willem II
Home
1-4
Full time
Koning Willem II Stadion
NEC Nijmegen
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.84
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
16%
Away
61%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
86%
1.09
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
86%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Willem II wins
0
Draws
0
NEC Nijmegen wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
46%
Attack
26%
40%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
61%
Home and away record
Willem II
last 4 at home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
NEC Nijmegen
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Willem II | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 4/5 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/5 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Willem II
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
NEC Nijmegen
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen |
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |
Willem II |
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -29 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Willem II face NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie. Willem II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). NEC Nijmegen have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 86% and Both Teams to Score at 79%.
NEC Nijmegen's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 61% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for NEC Nijmegen to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for Willem II, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 61% probability for NEC Nijmegen. Our top recommended betting pick is NEC Nijmegen Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 79% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion as part of the Eredivisie.
