3. Liga · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Verl
Home
2-4
Full time
Sportclub Arena
MSV Duisburg
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.72 - 2.57
Win probability
Home
1%
Draw
3%
Away
94%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
94%
1.01
Double Chance
Draw/Away
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
76%
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
24%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.29
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Verl wins
0
Draws
0
MSV Duisburg wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
66%
20%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
94%
Home and away record
Verl
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
6.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
MSV Duisburg
last 5 away from home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
1.60
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Verl | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 80% 4/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 2/5 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Verl
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
MSV Duisburg
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Verl face MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga. Verl have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 12 (1.2 points per game). MSV Duisburg have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 24%.
MSV Duisburg's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 94% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for MSV Duisburg to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 1% win probability for Verl, a 3% chance of a draw, and a 94% probability for MSV Duisburg. Our top recommended betting pick is MSV Duisburg Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.29 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 24%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Sportclub Arena as part of the 3. Liga.
