Liga Profesional Argentina · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
San Lorenzo
Home
1-0
Full time
Pedro Bidegain
Union Santa Fe
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
67%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
San Lorenzo wins
0
Draws
0
Union Santa Fe wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
33%
13%
Attack
41%
66%
Defence
41%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
San Lorenzo
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Union Santa Fe
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| San Lorenzo | Union Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| 40% 2/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/4 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
San Lorenzo
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Union Santa Fe
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
25%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
Union Santa Fe |
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | +4 | 42 |
| 18 |
San Lorenzo |
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
San Lorenzo face Union Santa Fe in Liga Profesional Argentina. San Lorenzo have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game). Union Santa Fe have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for San Lorenzo, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Union Santa Fe. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at Pedro Bidegain as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
