Primera Nacional · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Deportivo Moron
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Almagro
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.29
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.45 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
73%
Draw
16%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
73%
1.29
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Deportivo Moron wins
0
Draws
0
Almagro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
33%
73%
Attack
33%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
73%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Deportivo Moron
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Almagro
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Deportivo Moron | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 3/6 50% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Deportivo Moron
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Almagro
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Deportivo Moron |
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +14 | 58 |
| 14 |
Almagro |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Deportivo Moron face Almagro in Primera Nacional. Deportivo Moron have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game). Almagro have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 73% probability backing Deportivo Moron, home advantage and superior chance creation make Deportivo Moron to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 73% win probability for Deportivo Moron, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Almagro. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Moron Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano as part of the Primera Nacional.
