Challenger Pro League · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Excelsior Virton
Home
3-0
Full time
Stade Yvan Georges
K. Lierse S.K.
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.22
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.19
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
14%
Away
77%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
77%
1.22
Double Chance
Draw/Away
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excelsior Virton wins
0
Draws
0
K. Lierse S.K. wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
53%
46%
Attack
73%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
77%
Home and away record
Excelsior Virton
last 2 at home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
K. Lierse S.K.
last 7 away from home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Excelsior Virton | K. Lierse S.K. | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 2/8 25% |
At half time
Excelsior Virton
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
K. Lierse S.K.
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Excelsior Virton face K. Lierse S.K. in Challenger Pro League. Excelsior Virton have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game). K. Lierse S.K. have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
K. Lierse S.K.'s counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 77% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for K. Lierse S.K. to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Excelsior Virton, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 77% probability for K. Lierse S.K.. Our top recommended betting pick is K. Lierse S.K. Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Stade Yvan Georges as part of the Challenger Pro League.
