Serie A · Saturday, 15 Aug 2026
Fluminense
Home
3-2
Full time
Estádio do Maracanã
Palmeiras
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fluminense wins
0
Draws
0
Palmeiras wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
53%
13%
Attack
66%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Fluminense
last 6 at home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Palmeiras
last 3 away from home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Fluminense | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Fluminense
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
Palmeiras
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Palmeiras |
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +39 | 73 |
| 4 |
Fluminense |
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fluminense face Palmeiras in Serie A. Fluminense have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). Palmeiras have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 4 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Fluminense, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Palmeiras. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 15 Aug 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã as part of the Serie A.
